In looking at “How Free Agency Changed NBA Team Building” for Nylon Calculus I examined every draft pick from 1989 to 2015 and sorted them into five groups by their career achievements: MVPs, All-Stars, average starters, solid pros, and washouts. Here’s the pick-by-pick history of the success and failures of these NBA draft picks.


From there, you can reorganize the blocks to create a pseudo-histogram of player achievement by draft position.


And, finally, you can model the probability of NBA success by draft slot using a series of logistic models, which are visualized below.



Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s